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研究生: 陳芊妤
Chen, Chian-Yu
論文名稱: 資訊透明度與分析師行為—以中國家族企業為例
Information Transparency and Analysts' Behavior:The Evidence from Chinese Family Businesses
指導教授: 陳慧玲
Chen, Huei-Ling
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 55
中文關鍵詞: 家族企業資訊透明度分析師盈餘預測分析師追蹤人數長期預測
英文關鍵詞: Family firms, Information transparency, Analysts’ earnings forecasts, The number of analyst following, Long-term forecasts
DOI URL: https://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202204769
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:204下載:3
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  • 本研究旨在探討中國家族企業資訊透明度與分析師行為之關聯性,以中國深圳交易所2009年至2013年之上市A股作為研究樣本,並以深圳交易所公告之資訊揭露評比作為企業資訊透明度衡量依據,透過分析師追蹤人數、分析師盈餘預測誤差、分析師盈餘預測離散程度及發佈長期預測之分析師人數四種特性,檢視分析師行為是否會因企業型態不同或資訊透明度不同而有所差異。本研究認為相較於非家族企業,中國家族企業會因為其資金成本考量及永續經營之聲譽,而傾向提高資訊透明度。而家族企業資訊透明度高低會對分析師追蹤人數及發佈長期預測之分析師人數造成影響,且當家族企業資訊透明度越高,會使得分析師具有較高的盈餘預測準確性與較低的盈餘預測離散程度。
    實證結果顯示,相較於非家族企業,家族企業的資訊透明度並無顯著較佳。若家族企業資訊透明度越佳,分析師追蹤人數增加但發佈長期預測之分析師人數減少。此外,家族企業資訊透明度越佳,並未顯著影響分析師盈餘預測準確性之提升與盈餘預測離散程度之降低。

    This paper aims to investigate the relations between information transparency of Chinese family firms and financial analysts’ behaviors. We use the A-share listed Chinese family firms in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2013 as samples. The rating of information disclosure evaluated by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is used as the proxy of information transparency. We investigate whether business types and the magnitude of information transparency affect the number of analyst following, earnings forecast errors, earnings forecast dispersion, and the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts. We propose that compared with non-family firms, Chinese family firms tend to increase the information transparency in order to lower cost of capital and maintain reputation. Furthermore, we conjecture that information transparency of Chinese family businesses may affect the number of analyst following and the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts. We also propose that when the information transparency is higher, earnings forecasts are more accurate and earnings forecast dispersion is lower.
    Our findings indicate that the information transparency of family firms is not significantly better than that of non-family business. When the family firms has better information transparency, the number of analysts following increases but the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts reduce. Moreover, information transparency does not significantly affect the accuracy of earnings forecasts and the degree of forecast dispersion.

    第一章、 緒論 1 第一節、 研究動機 1 第二節、 研究目的 3 第三節、 研究架構 4 第四節、 研究貢獻 6 第二章、 文獻回顧 7 第一節、 家族企業績效表現與公司價值 7 第二節、 家族企業與資訊揭露 9 第三節、 分析師預測及資訊揭露品質 10 第四節、 中國家族企業 11 第三章、 研究設計及方法 14 第一節、 研究假說 14 第二節、 變數定義 16 第三節、 實證模型 17 第四節、 樣本選取及資料來源 21 第四章、 實證結果 22 第一節、 樣本篩選及描述性統計 22 第二節、 實證結果分析 30 第三節、 敏感性分析 37 第五章、 結論與建議 50 第一節、 研究結論 50 第二節、 研究建議 51 參考文獻 52

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