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研究生: 林澤軍
Lin, Tse-Chun
論文名稱: 相對估值對於投資人關注度之影響及其於獨特性風險與報酬關係之作用
Relative Valuation's Impact on Investors' Attention and Its Role in the Relationship Between Idiosyncratic Risk and Returns
指導教授: 蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan
口試委員: 張森林
Chung, San-Lin
黃瑞卿
Huang, Jui-Ching
蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan
口試日期: 2023/07/06
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 49
中文關鍵詞: 獨特性風險相對估值投資人關注度獨特性風險之謎
英文關鍵詞: idiosyncratic risk, relative valuation, investors’ attention, idiosyncratic risk puzzle
研究方法: 次級資料分析
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202301301
論文種類: 學術論文
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  • 本研究旨在探討相對估值於獨特性風險與預期報酬之間的作用,為理解投資人關注度是否為其中影響之途徑,因此進一步以兩階段迴歸探討相對估值透過投資人關注度如何影響獨特性風險與預期報酬之關係。本研究以2007年1月至2022年10月當作樣本期間,並選用台灣證券交易所之定義台灣上市公司作為樣本進行實證,實證結果顯示:(1)再次證實台灣股票上市公司市場存在獨特性風險負溢酬現象。(2)相對高估比起其他估值程度下,其獨特性風險負溢酬現象較為嚴重。(3)相對估值對於投資人關注度有顯著之負向影響。(4)相對估值透過投資人關注度之負向影響下,低投資人關注度其獨特性風險負溢酬現象較為嚴重。本研究證實了相對估值於獨特性風險與預期報酬關係之作用,並且奠定了投資人關注度為影響途徑之一。

    The purpose of this research is to explore the role of relative valuation in the interplay between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns, with the intention of discerning whether investor attention operates as a mediating factor. To delve deeper into this matter, a two-stage regression analysis was used to understand how relative valuation influences the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns, mediated by the level of investor attention. This research takes the period from January 2007 to October 2022 as the sample period and selects Taiwanese listed companies based on the definition provided by the Taiwan Stock Exchange as the sample. The empirical results yield four key insights: (1) There is a reaffirmation of the presence of negative idiosyncratic risk premium in Taiwan's publicly traded companies. (2) This negative idiosyncratic risk premium phenomenon appears to be more pronounced when the relative valuation is high, as opposed to other levels of valuation. (3) Relative valuation has a significant negative impact on investor attention. (4) Under the adverse influence of relative valuation on investor attention, the negative idiosyncratic risk premium phenomenon is seen to be more severe when investor attention is low. This research provides evidence of the role of relative valuation in the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns and establishes investor attention as one of the influencing pathways.

    謝辭 i 摘要 ii Abstract iii 目錄 iv 表目錄 v 圖目錄 vi 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景及動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 研究流程 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 第一節 獨特性風險與預期報酬 4 第二節 相對估值 5 第三節 投資人關注度 8 第三章 研究方法 9 第一節 資料來源及樣本選取 9 第二節 研究假說 9 第三節 變數定義及說明 11 第四節 模型設定 23 第四章 實證結果及分析 25 第一節 敘述統計 25 第二節 迴歸結果分析 29 第三節 分組排序結果 37 第五章 結論 44 第一節 研究結論 44 參考文獻 45

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