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研究生：	羅依安 Ysela Andrea Logan
論文名稱：	Transitional Change of Labor Migration from Technology Based to Knowledge Based Economy in United States during 1970 to 2008
指導教授：	施正屏 Shih, Cheng-Ping
學位類別：	碩士 Master
系所名稱：	國際人力資源發展研究所 Graduate Institute of International Human Resource Developmemt
論文出版年：	2010
畢業學年度：	98
語文別：	英文
論文頁數：	93
中文關鍵詞：	馬可夫鏈、經濟轉型、勞工轉移、結構變革
英文關鍵詞：	Markov chain, economic transformation, labor migration, structure change
論文種類：	學術論文
相關次數：	點閱：71 下載：0
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In the inception of Globalization fueled by the world becoming one large economy, the United States of America, privileged as one of the pioneers in world power had its fair share of changes in terms of political, social and economic disparities. In addition, the Markov Chain Model is applied to American statistical data in the different sectors to determine the extent of movement within the American labor force. Presently, the United States of America is a composite of fifty states and four regions; this is then analyzed from three perspectives: Region, Industry and Time period spanning 39 years. The purpose of this study are to observe the pattern in movement of people to any particular region, to look at the mobility from one sector to another, and also to use past and present data to create a forecast of labor migration patterns for future years to come. The United States of America endured many transformations in the last three decades which brought numerous challenges, success and redefinition of what is presently known as the USA. Also, the economic conversion from primary to secondary and tertiary sector in the time period is considered influential to US labor migration. Therefore, structure change and the movement of the work force from industry to industry are discussed in this paper.

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Abstract     I
Table of Contents  III
List of Tables VII
List of Figures VIII
CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION     1
Chapter Overview    1
Background of the Study     1
Research Problem      2
Purposes of the Study      2
Testing Hypotheses      3
Significance of the Study    3
Delimitations and Limitations      3
Definition of Terms      5
CHAPTER II. LITERATURE REVIEW      7
Chapter Overview     7
The Impact of Migration     11
Synopsis of influential Organizations     13
Movement In the US       14
Changes in US Economy     16
Major factors Affecting US Economy     18
Structure Change     19
CHAPTER III. METHODOLOGY     21
Chapter Overview    21
Research Framework      21
Research Procedure      22
Source of Data       23
Population and Sampling       23
Markov Chain Model     24
Chi Square Analysis    25
CHAPTER IV. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS    27
Chapter Overview      27
Northeast Region      27
Midwest Region    29
South Region    32
West Region    34
Analysis    37
CHAPTER V. TWO STAGES EMPIRICAL RESULTS OF MARKOV
CHAIN MODEL AND CHISQUARE ANALYSIS    39
Chapter Overview    39
Empirical Results of Northeast Region    39
Empirical Results of Midwest Region    45
Empirical Results of South Region    50
Empirical Results of West Region    58
Chi Square Analysis     66
CHAPTER VI. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATION.  75
Chapter Overview    75
Regional Analysis    75
Conclusions and Policy Recommendations     82
REFERENCES    85
APPENDIX GROWTH RATE     89
LIST OF TABLES
Table 5.1 Labor Transition probability of Northeast Region in 1970 to 1989     51
Table 5.2 Labor Transition probability of Northeast Region in 1990 to 2008     53
Table 5.3 Labor Transition probability of Midwest Region in 1970 to 1989      57
Table 5.4 Labor Transition probability of Midwest Region in 1990 to 2008     59
Table 5.5 Labor Transition probability of South Region in 1970 to 1989     62
Table 5.6 Labor Transition probability of South Region in 1970 to 1989     63
Table 5.7 Labor Transition probability of South Region in 1990 to 2008     67
Table 5.8 Labor Transition probability of South Region in 1990 to 2008     68
Table 5.9 Labor Transition probability of West Region in 1970 to 1989     73
Table 5.10 Labor Transition probability of West Region in 1970 to 1989     74
Table 5.11 Labor Transition probability of West Region in 1990 to 2008     76
Table 5.12 Labor Transition probability of West Region in 1990 to 2008     77
Table 5.13 Two Stage Chi square Chart of Northeast Region in 1990 to 2008  80
Table 5.13 Two Stage Chi square Chart of Midwest Region in 1990 to 2008     82
Table 5.13 Two Stage Chi square Chart of South Region in 1990 to 2008     84
Table 5.13 Two Stage Chi square Chart of West Region in 1990 to 2008     86

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 3.1 Research Framework     21
Figure 3.2 Research Procedure     22
Figure 4.1 Primary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      36
Figure 4.2 Secondary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008   36
Figure 4.3 Tertiary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      37
Figure 4.4 Primary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      38
Figure 4.5 Secondary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008   39
Figure 4.6 Tertiary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      40
Figure 4.7 Primary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      41
Figure 4.8 Secondary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008   41
Figure 4.9 Tertiary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      43
Figure 4.10 Primary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008      45
Figure 4.11 Secondary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008    45
Figure 4.12 Tertiary Industry Employment Growth Rate 1970 to 2008    46
                                

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