研究生: |
王儷樵 Li-Chiao Wang |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
熱帶太平洋環流的動力: 演化、調節與解釋 Dynamics of Tropical Pacific Ocean circulation: evolution, modulation, and interpretation |
指導教授: |
吳朝榮
Wu, Chau-Ron |
學位類別: |
博士 Doctor |
系所名稱: |
地球科學系 Department of Earth Sciences |
論文出版年: | 2014 |
畢業學年度: | 103 |
語文別: | 英文 |
論文頁數: | 91 |
中文關鍵詞: | 聖嬰-南方振盪 、東太平洋聖嬰 、中太平洋聖嬰 、風應力旋度 、羅士培波 |
英文關鍵詞: | El Niño-Southern Oscillation, eastern Pacific El Niño, central Pacific El Niño, wind stress curl, Rossby waves |
論文種類: | 學術論文 |
相關次數: | 點閱:133 下載:21 |
分享至: |
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究使用海洋模式資料,分析太平洋低緯度區域洋流的演變過程,並探究其背後機制。由於聖嬰–南方振盪現象(El Niño-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)在太平洋熱帶區域扮演了極其重要的角色,本研究主要著重於ENSO在赤道區域對洋流的影響,以及ENSO和其他氣候因子交互作用之下,熱帶區域洋流所產生的變化。
模式資料顯示,中太平洋聖嬰發生時,赤道地區的溫躍層產生了東西向振盪的變化,且南赤道洋流和赤道潛流明顯減弱,這和前人研究的結果是一致的;東太平洋聖嬰的情況完全不同:赤道區域的溫躍層產生了東西向及南北向的振盪,且自聖嬰的發展期開始,北赤道反流不斷增強,到了成熟期,南赤道洋流不僅未減弱,還持續增強了六個月。本研究進一步發現,風應力旋度透過艾克曼作用而帶動了溫躍層的變化,是造成兩種聖嬰現象之下太平洋環流有如此差異的關鍵。另外,模式資料顯示,中太平洋位於10°N–15°N , 160°E–170°E的風應力旋度場,激發了羅士培波(Rossby waves),間接影響了北赤道洋流在菲律賓沿岸分支點的變化。1976~1992年,剛從負相位轉為正相位的太平洋十年期振盪(Pacific Decadal Oscillation,PDO)和ENSO勢均力敵,效力中和,使得中太平洋風場失去了激發Rossby waves的能力,間接導致北太平洋分支點緯度偏南;1993~2009年,PDO主導了中太平洋的風場並激發了Rossby waves,使得北太平洋分支點緯度偏北,其效力約為來自ENSO效力的13倍。而在1976年以前,當PDO仍為負相位時,中太平洋的風場由ENSO所主導。本研究發現,唯有PDO和ENSO兩者效力相差甚遠時,方能激發Rossby waves並使得北赤道洋流分支點往北偏移;當PDO初經歷相位轉換,與ENSO效力互相削弱,中太平洋的風場就失去了遠端影響北太平洋分支點的能力。
Abstract
Outputs from ocean models are adopted to analyze the ocean circulations in the low-latitude Pacific and explain the responsible mechanisms behind them. Due to the prominent role that El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays in the tropical climate system, the analyses focused on ocean circulation patterns under the influence of ENSO in equatorial Pacific and the interaction between ENSO and other decadal variability in the extra-tropical region.
Simulation outputs show that results for the central Pacific El Niño (CP-El Niño) corresponded well with previous studies which suggested that thermocline variations in the equatorial Pacific contain an east-west oscillation. The eastern Pacific El Niño (EP-El Niño) experienced an additional north-south seesaw oscillation between approximately 15N° and 15°S. Moreover, the same outputs show that the flow patterns in the CP-El Niño are consistent with previous El Niño studies that both the eastward Equatorial Undercurrent and westward South Equatorial Current (SEC) weaken. On the other hand, the EP-El Niño displays a significantly distinct circulation pattern. The North Equatorial Counter-Current strengthens in the developing phase and persists into the peak of the warm event, while the northern branch of the SEC also intensifies during the mature phase and lasts for about half a year. The South Equatorial Counter-Current strengthens during the decaying phase of EP-El Niño. It is found that the shifting of the wind stress curl associated with the thermocline variability is chiefly responsible for the unique performance of EP-El Niño.
Simulated current velocity shows that wind stress curl anomaly (WSCA) in the region of 10°N–15°N and 160°E–170°E generates Rossby waves and affects the North Equatorial Current (NEC) bifurcation along the Philippine coast. From 1976 to 1992, following a regime shift to the positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) phase, PDO and ENSO match each other in strength and have a neutralized effect on the WSCA. From 1993 to 2009, WSCA matches PDO well, and its correlation with ENSO is lower. A linear regression model demonstrates that the influence of PDO has nearly thirteen times weight over that of ENSO. Prior to the 1976 regime shift, WSCA is closely related to ENSO from 1961 to 1975, and it does not correlate significantly with PDO. It is suggested that Rossby waves are preferentially generated in either the negative PDO phase when the ENSO signal dominates, or in the positive PDO phase when the ENSO signal is overshadowed. In the phase when the positive PDO counteracts with the ENSO signal, neither ENSO nor PDO has a significant influence on Rossby wave generations through the WSCA.
List of References
Alley, R. B., Marotzke, J., Nordhaus, W. D., Overpeck, J. T., Peteet, D. M., Pielke Jr., R. A., Pierrehumbert, R. T., Rhines, P.B., Stocker, T. F., Talley, L. D. and Wallace, J. M. (2003), Abrupt climate change, Science, 299, 2005–2010, doi:10.1126/Science.1081056.
Ashok, K., S. Behera, A.-S. Rao, H. Weng and T. Yamagata (2007), El Niño Modoki and its teleconnection , 112, C11007, doi:10.1029/2006JC003798.
Behringer, D. and Y. Xue (2004), Evaluation of the global ocean data assimilation system at NCEP: The Pacific Ocean. Preprints, Eighth Symp. on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.3.
Bjerknes, J. (1969), Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97(3), 16-172, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1969)097<0163:ATFTEP>2.3.CO;2.
Braganza, K. (2008), Seasonal climate summary southern hemisphere (autumn 2007). La Niña emerges as a distinct possibility in 2007. Aust. Met. Mag. 57, 65-75.
Cai, W. and P. H. Whetton (2000), Evidence for time-varying pattern of greenhouse warming in the Pacific ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 2577-2580.
Cane, M. A., S. E. Zebiak, and S. C. Dolan (1986), Experimental forecasts of El Niño. Nature. 321, 827-832, doi:10.1038/321827a0.
Chang, Y.-L. and L. Y. Oey (2012), The Philippines-Taiwan Oscillation: Monsoon-Like Interannual Oscillation of the Subtropical-Tropical Western North Pacific Wind System and Its Impact on the Ocean. J. Climate, 25(5), 1597-1618, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00158.1.
Chen, Z. and L. Wu (2011), Dynamics of the seasonal variation of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 116(2), C02018, doi:10.1029/2010JC006664.
Clarke, A. J., S. Van Gorder, and G. Colantuono (2007), Wind stress curl and ENSO discharge/recharge in the equatorial Pacific. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 37(4), 1077-1091, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO3035.1.
Conkright, M. E., S. Levitus, T. O’Brien, T. P. Boyer, C. Stephens, D. Johnson, O. Baranova, J. Antonov, R. Gelfeld, J. Rochester, and C. Forgy (1999), World ocean database 1998 CD-ROM data set documentation, Version 2.0. NODC Internal Report 14, 116pp.
Delcroix, T., G. Eldin, M. H. Radenac, J. Toole, and E. Firing (1992), Variations of the western equatorial Pacific Ocean, 1986-1988. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 97(C4), 5423-5445, doi:10.1029/92JC00127.
Deser, C. and J. M. Wallace (1990), Large-scale atmospheric circulation features of warm and cold episodes in the tropical Pacific. J. Clim. 3, 1254-1281, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<1254:LSACFO>2.0.CO;2.
Evans, M. N., M. A. Cane, D. P. Schrag, A. Kaplan, B. K. Linsley, R. Villalba, and G. M. Wellington (2001), Support for tropically driven Pacific decadal variability based on paleoproxy evidence. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(19), 3689-3692, doi:10.1029/2001GL013223.
Gouriou. Y. and J. Toole (1993), Mean circulation of the upper layers of the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98(C12), 22495–22520, doi:10.1029/93JC02513.
Gu, D. and S. G. H. Philander (1997), Interdecadal climate fluctuations that depend on exchanges between the tropics and the extratropics, Science, 275(5301), 805–807, doi:10.1126/science.275.5301.805.
Hsin, Y.-C., C.-R. Wu, and P.-T. Shaw (2008), Spatial and Temporal Variations of the Kuroshio East of Taiwan, 1982-2005: A numerical study. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 113(4), C04002, doi:10.1029/2007JC004485.
Hsin, Y.-C., C.-R. Wu, and S.-Y. Chao (2012), An updated examination of the Luzon Strait transport. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 117(3), C03022, doi:10.1029/2011JC007714.
Ji, M. and A. Leetmaa (1997), Impact of data assimilation on ocean initialization and El Niño prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 742-753, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<0742:IODAOO>2.0.CO;2.
Jin, F.-F. (1997a), An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO. Part I: Conceptual model. J. Atmos. Sci. 54, 811-829, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054<0811:AEORPF>2.0.CO;2.
Jin, F.-F. (1997b), An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO. Part II: A tripped-down coupled model. J. Atmos. Sci. 54, 830-847, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054<0830:AEORPF>2.0.CO;2.
Johnson, G. C., M. J. McPhaden, G. D. Rowe, and K. E. McTaggart (2000), Upper equatorial Pacific Ocean current and salinity variability during the 1996-1998 El Niño-La Niña cycle. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 105(C1), 1037–1053, doi:0.1029/1999JC900280.
Johnson, G. C., B. M. Sloyan, W. S. Kessler and K. E. McTaggart (2002), Direct measurements of upper ocean currents and water properties across the tropical Pacific Ocean during the 1990’s. Progress in Oceanography, 52(1), Pergamon, 31-61, doi:10.1016/S0079-6611(02)00021-6.
Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woolen, S. K., J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter (2002), NCEP-DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2): Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631-1643, doi:10.1175/BAMS-83-11-1631.
Kao, H.-Y. and J.-Y. Yu (2009), Contrasting eastern‐Pacific and central‐Pacific types of El Niño, J. Clim. 22, 615–632, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2309.1.
Kashino, Y., N. Espana, F. Syamsudin, K. J. Richards, T. Jensen, P. Dutrieux and A. Ishida (2009), Observations of the North Equatorial Current, Mindanao Current, and the Kuroshio Current system during the 2006/07 El Niño and 2007/08 La Niña. J. Oceanogr., 65(3), 325–333, doi:10.1007/s10872-009-0030-z.
Keenlyside, N. and R. Kleeman (2002), Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 107(C8), 3093, doi:10.1029/2000JC000711.
Kessler, W. S. (1990), Observations of long Rossby waves in the northern tropical Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 95(4), C4, 5183-5217, doi:10.1029/JC095iC04p05183.
Kim, Y. Y., T. Qu, T. Jensen, T. Miyama, H. Mitsudera, H.-W. Kang, and A. Ishida (2004), Seasonal and interannual variations of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation in a high-resolution OGCM. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 109(C3), C03040, doi:10.1029/2003JC002013.
Kistler, R., E. Kalnay, W. Collins, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, M. Kanamitsu, V. Kousky, H. van den Dool, R. Jenne, and M. Fiorino (2001), The NCEP–NCAR 50-Year Reanalysis: Monthly means CD-ROM and documentation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82(2), 247-267, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0247:TNNYRM>2.3.CO;2.
Kug, J.-S., F.-F. Jin, and S.-I. An (2009), Two types of El Niño events: Cold tongue El Niño and warm pool El Niño, J. Clim. 22, 1499-1515, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2624.1.
Kug, J.-S., J. Choi, S.-I. An, F.-F. Jin, and A. T. Wittenberg (2010), Warm pool and cold tongue El Niño events as simulated by the GFDL 2.1 coupled GCM. J Clim, 23(5), 1226–1239, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3293.1.
Larkin, N. K. and D. E. Harrison (2005), Global seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies during El Niño autumn and winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16705, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022860.
Lengaigne, M. and G. A. Vecchi (2009), Contrasting the termination of moderate and extreme El Niño events in coupled general circulation models. Climate Dyn, 35(2-3), 299-313, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0562-3.
Li, T. and S. G. H. Philander (1996), On the annual cycle of the eastern equatorial Pacific. J. Climate, 9(12), 2986–2998, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2986:OTACOT>2.0.CO;2.
Lukas, R. (1986), The termination of the equatorial undercurrent in the Eastern Pacific. Progress in Oceanography, 16(2), 63–90, doi:10.1016/0079-6611(86)90007-8.
Lukas, R., E. Firing, P. Hacker, P. L. Richardson, C. A. Collins, R. Fine, and R. Gammon (1991), Observations of the Mindanao Current during the Western Equatorial Pacific Ocean Circulation Study. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 96(C4), 7089–7104, doi: 10.1029/91JC00062.
Lukas, R. (2001), Pacific Equatorial Currents. In: Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, J.H. Steele, S.A. Thorpe, and K.A. Turekian, eds., Academic Press, London.
Luo, J.-J. and T. Yamagata (2001), Long-term El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like variation with special emphasis on the South Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 106(C10), 22211–22227, doi:10.1029/2000JC000471.
Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace and R. C. Francis (1997), A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78 (6), 1069–1079, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<1069:APICOW>2.0.CO;2.
McPhaden, M. J., Delcroix, T., Hanawa, K., Kuroda, Y., Meyers, G., Picaut, J., and Swenson, M. (2001), The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Observing System. Observing the Ocean in the 21st Century, C. J. Koblinsky and N. R. Smith, Eds., Australian Bureau of Meteorology, 231-246.
Meinen, C. S. and M. J. McPhaden (2000), Observations of warm water volume changes in the equatorial Pacific and their relationship to El Niño and La Niña. J. Clim. 13(20), 3551–3559, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<3551:OOWWVC>2.0.CO;2.
Merrifield, M. A. (2011), A shift in western tropical Pacific sea level trends during the 1990s. J. Clim., 24(15), 4126–4138, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3932.1.
Newman, M., G. P. Compo, and M. A. Alexander (2003), ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, J. Clim., 16, 3853– 3857, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3853:EVOTPD>2.0.CO;2.
Philander, S. G. H., T. Yamagata and R. C. Pacanowski (1984), Unstable air-sea interaction in the Tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 41(4), 604-613, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1984)041<0604:UASIIT>2.0.CO;2.
Philander, S.G.H. (1985), El Niño and La Niña. J. Atmos. Sci. 42(23), 652–662, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1985)042<2652:ENALN>2.0.CO;2.
Philander, S. G. H. (1990), El Niño, La Niña, and the Southern Oscillation. Academic Press, 289 pp.
Philander, S. G. H., R. C. Pacanowski, N. C. Lau, M. J. Nath (1992), Simulation of ENSO with a global atmospheric GCM coupled to a high-resolution, tropical Pacific ocean GCM. J. Climate, 5(4), 308-329, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0308%3ASOEWAG>2.0.CO%3B2.
Qiu, B and T. M. Joyce (1992), Interannual variability in the mid- and low-latitude western North Pacific. Phys. Oceanogr., 22(9), 1062-1079, doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1992)022<1062:IVITMA>2.0.CO%3B2.
Qiu, B and R. Lukas (1996), Seasonal and interannual variability of the North Equatorial Current, the Mindanao Current and the Kroshio along the Pacific western boundary. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 101(C5), 12 315–12 330, doi:10.1029/95JC03204.
Qiu, B. (2003), Kuroshio Extension variability and forcing of the Pacific decadal oscillations: Responses and potential feedback. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 33(12), 2465–2482, doi:10.1175/2459.1.
Qiu, B and S. Chen (2010), Interannual-to-decadal variability in the bifurcation of the North Equatorial Current off the Philippines. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 40(11), 2525–2538. doi: 10.1175/2010JPO4462.1, doi:10.1175/2010JPO4462.1.
Qiu, B and S. Chen (2012), Multi-decadal sea level and gyre circulation variability in the northwestern tropical Pacific Ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 42(1), 193-206. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-11-061.1.
Qu, T., and R. Lukas (2003), The bifurcation of the North Equatorial Current in the Pacific. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 33(1), 5–18, doi:10.1175/1520-0485(2003)033<0005:TBOTNE>2.0.CO%3B2.
Rasmusson, E. M. and Carpenter, T. H. (1982), Variations in tropical sea surfacetemperature and surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/ El Niño. Mon. Wea. Rev. 110(5), 354–384, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1982)110<0354:VITSST>2.0.CO;2.
Trenberth, K. E. and T. J. Hoar (1997), El Niño and climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 24(3), 3057-3060, doi:10.1029/97GL03092.
Wang, B., R. Wu, and R. Lukas (1999), Roles of the western North Pacific wind variation in thermocline adjustment and ENSO phase transition. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan. 77(1), 1–16.
Wang, L.-C. and C.-R. Wu (2012), Modulation of the equatorial currents by the two types of El Niño events. Atmosphere–Ocean. doi:10.1080/07055900.2012.744294.
Wolter, K. and M. S. Timlin (1993), Monitoring ENSO in COADS with a seasonal adjusted principal component index. Proc. 17th jou Diagnostics Workshop. Norman, OK, NOAA/NMC/CAC, 52–57.
Wu, C.-R. (2013), Interannual modulation of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on the low-latitude western North Pacific. Progress in Oceanography, 110, 49-58, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2012.12.001.
Wyrtki, K. (1974), Sea level and the seasonal fluctuations of the equatorial currents in the western Pacific Ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 4(1), 91–103, doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1974)004<0091:SLATSF>2.0.CO%3B2.
Wyrtki, K. (1985), Water displacements in the Pacific and the genesis of El Niño cycles, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 90(C4), 7129–7132, doi:10.1029/JC090iC04p07129.
Yeh, S.-W., J.-S. Kug, B. Dewitte, M.-H. Kwon, B. P. Kirtman, and F.-F. Jin (2009), El Niño in a changing climate. Nature, 461, 511-514, doi:10.1038/nature08316.
Yu, J.-Y. and H.-Y. Kao (2007), Decadal changes of ENSO persistence barrier in SST and ocean heat content indices: 1958–2001, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 112(D13), D13106, doi:10.1029/2006JD007654.
Yu, J.-Y. and S.-T. Kim (2010), Three evolution patterns of Central‐Pacific El Niño, 37(8), L08706, doi:10.1029/2010GL042810.
Yu, J.-Y., H.-Y. Kao, Lee T., and S.-T. Kim (2011), Subsurface Ocean Temperature Indices for Central-Pacific and Eastern-Pacific Types of El Niño and La Niña Events. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 103, 337-344, doi:10.1007/s00704-010-0307-6.
Yu, J.-Y. and S.-T. Kim (2012), Short communication: Identifying the types of major El Niño events since 1870, Int. J. Climatol, 33(8), 2105-2112, doi:10.1002/joc.3575.
Yu, J.-Y., M.-M. Lu, and S.-T. Kim (2012), A change in the relationship between tropical central Pacific SST variability and the extratropical atmosphere around 1990. Environ. Res. Lett., 7(3), 034025, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034025.
Yu, X. and M. J. McPhaden (1999), Dynamical analysis of seasonal and interannual variability in the equatorial Pacific, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 29, 2350–2369, doi:10.1175/1520-0485(1999)029<2350:DAOSAI>2.0.CO%3B2.
Zhai, F., and D. Hu (2013), Revisit the interannual variability of the North Equatorial Current transport with ECMWF ORA-S3: Interannual variability of NEC transport. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118, 1349-1366, doi:10.1002/jgrc.20093.
Zhai, F., D. Hu and T. Qu (2013), Decadal variations of the North Equatorial Current in the Pacific at 137°E. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118(10), 4989-5006, doi:10.1002/jgrc.20391.
Zhang, X., W. Lin, and M. Zhang (2007), Toward understanding the double Intertropical Convergence Zone pathology in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 112(D12), D12102, doi:10.1029/2006JD007878.
Zhang, Y., J. M. Wallace, and D. S. Battisti (1997), ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J. Clim., 10(5), 1004–1020, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1004:ELIV>2.0.CO;2.