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研究生: 游豐進
Feng-Chin Yu
論文名稱: 不同種類的投資人之流動性需求與供給
Liquidity supply and demand for various investors
指導教授: 蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 68
中文關鍵詞: 流動性委託不均衡外資自然人重大事件
英文關鍵詞: Liquidity, Order Imbalance, Foreign Investors, Retail Investors, Important Event
DOI URL: https://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202205611
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:192下載:0
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  • 本研究主要目的為探討期貨市場中,不同種類的投資人對市場流動性之影響。我們以台灣期貨市場中的臺股期貨、小型臺指期貨、電子期貨及金融期貨為研究標的,將這些市場中的投資人區分成四種,依序將這些人的委託單排除後算出委託不均衡,將其結果與完整市場的委託不均衡情形相比較,來觀察他們對於市場的流動性供需情形。
    通常外資被認為是較有資訊的投資人,他們對於市場趨勢判斷精確,為流動性的供給者;而自然人資訊落後,容易產生追高殺低的不理性行為,為流動性的需求者。實證結果顯示外資在大台、小台、電子期及金融期皆為流動性的供給者,而自然人在上述四個市場中,明顯是流動性的需求者,與我們的研究假說相符合。此外,我們還發現自營商也為流動性的供給者,但這可能是因為他們的操作期間較短所致。
    根據以往文獻記載,交易量、報酬率與波動度均會對流動性造成影響。我們將這三者作為本研究的自變數,而投資人的流動性作為應變數,利用TOBIT Model來檢視它們之間的關係。結果顯示交易量與波動度皆會對流動性造成顯著影響,而報酬率的結果則否。
    重大事件對於市場造成很大程度的衝擊,其流動性也會連帶受到影響。本研究透過外資大賣超、全球股市暴跌及總統大選等重大事件,來檢視事件前後投資人流動性是否有明顯改變。結果表明外資與國內法人受到的影響較小,而自營商及自然人的流動性變化較劇,在事件發生後,這兩類投資人會比之前提供出更多的流動性。

    中文摘要 I 英文摘要 II 目錄 III 圖表目錄 IV 第一章 緒論 1 第一節  研究動機與背景 1 第二節  研究目的 2 第三節  研究架構 3 第四節  研究流程 4 第二章 文獻探討 5 第一節  流動性的層面與衡量 5 第二節  流動性對市場的影響 6 第三節  以投資人種類區分流動性 7 第三章 研究方法 10 第一節  研究資料來源與介紹 10 第二節  研究變數定義與說明 15 第三節  研究假說 19 第四章 實證結果與分析 27 第一節  流動性供給與需求之統計檢定 27   第二節  影響流動性之迴歸模型分析 30   第三節  重大事件前後流動性變化之統計檢定 38 第五章 結論與建議 46   第一節   研究結論 46   第二節  研究建議 48 參考文獻 50 附錄一 53

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