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研究生: 李姿淋
Lee, Zih-Lin
論文名稱: 獨特性風險對股票相對低估與高估之影響-不同程度投資人意見分歧之情境分析
The Influence of Idiosyncratic Risk on Relative Undervaluation and Overvaluation: A Scenario Analysis Across Different Levels of Investors' Opinion Divergence
指導教授: 蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan
賴慧文
Lai, Whuei-Wen
口試委員: 蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan
何耕宇
Ho, Keng-Yu
江彌修
Chiang,Mi-Hsiu
口試日期: 2024/06/18
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2024
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 48
中文關鍵詞: 相對低估相對高估獨特性風險投資者意見分歧股票市場行為財務學
英文關鍵詞: undervaluation, overvaluation, idiosyncratic risk, investors' opinion divergence, stock market, behavioral finance
研究方法: 次級資料分析
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202400698
論文種類: 學術論文
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  • 本研究以2012 年 01 月至 2022 年 12 月台灣股票市場之上市公司為研究樣本,探討獨特性風險對股票相對低估與高估之影響,並且進一步探討將相對高投資者意見分歧納入考量後,如何影響獨特性風險對於股票相對低估與高估之關係。實證結果發現 (1) 獨特性風險越高會造成當期與預期股票被相對低估與高估的可能性增加以及 (2) 在相對高投資者意見分歧之情境下,會讓獨特性風險對股票當期被相對低估、當期被相對高估與預期被相對低估之正向影響力減弱。這樣的結果不但讓我們了解不同種類的風險,即獨特性風險對於股票相對低估與高估之間的關係,也奠定了投資者意見分歧為這段關係間的影響因素之一,並且協助了我們對於市場的理解以及有效的規避相對低估與高估带来的潛在風險。

    This study examines listed companies in the Taiwan stock market from January 2012 to December 2022, exploring how idiosyncratic risk affects relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. It also investigates how high investors' opinion divergence influences this relationship. Results show that higher idiosyncratic risk increases the likelihood of current and expected relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. However, in situations of high investors' opinion divergence, the positive effect of idiosyncratic risk on current and expected relative undervaluation and current relative Oovervaluation weakens. These findings enhance our understanding of how different risk types, specifically idiosyncratic risk, relate to relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. They also establish investors' opinion divergence as a key factor in this relationship. This improves our market understanding and helps in avoiding potential risks associated with relative undervaluation and overvaluation.

    致謝詞 i 摘要 ii Abstract iii 目錄 iv 表目錄 vi 圖目錄 vii 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景及動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 研究流程 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 第一節 相對高估與相對低估 4 第二節 獨特性風險 7 第三節 投資人意見分歧 8 第三章 研究方法 10 第一節 資料來源及樣本選取 10 第二節 研究假說 10 第三節 變數定義及說明 12 第四節 模型設定 24 第四章 實證結果及分析 26 第一節 敘述統計 26 第二節 迴歸結果分析 29 第三節 穩健性分析 34 第五章 結論 38 第一節 研究結論 38 參考文獻 40

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