研究生: |
李姿淋 Lee, Zih-Lin |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
獨特性風險對股票相對低估與高估之影響-不同程度投資人意見分歧之情境分析 The Influence of Idiosyncratic Risk on Relative Undervaluation and Overvaluation: A Scenario Analysis Across Different Levels of Investors' Opinion Divergence |
指導教授: |
蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan 賴慧文 Lai, Whuei-Wen |
口試委員: |
蔡蒔銓
Tsai, Shih-Chuan 何耕宇 Ho, Keng-Yu 江彌修 Chiang,Mi-Hsiu |
口試日期: | 2024/06/18 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
管理研究所 Graduate Institute of Management |
論文出版年: | 2024 |
畢業學年度: | 112 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 48 |
中文關鍵詞: | 相對低估 、相對高估 、獨特性風險 、投資者意見分歧 、股票市場 、行為財務學 |
英文關鍵詞: | undervaluation, overvaluation, idiosyncratic risk, investors' opinion divergence, stock market, behavioral finance |
研究方法: | 次級資料分析 |
DOI URL: | http://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202400698 |
論文種類: | 學術論文 |
相關次數: | 點閱:120 下載:0 |
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本研究以2012 年 01 月至 2022 年 12 月台灣股票市場之上市公司為研究樣本,探討獨特性風險對股票相對低估與高估之影響,並且進一步探討將相對高投資者意見分歧納入考量後,如何影響獨特性風險對於股票相對低估與高估之關係。實證結果發現 (1) 獨特性風險越高會造成當期與預期股票被相對低估與高估的可能性增加以及 (2) 在相對高投資者意見分歧之情境下,會讓獨特性風險對股票當期被相對低估、當期被相對高估與預期被相對低估之正向影響力減弱。這樣的結果不但讓我們了解不同種類的風險,即獨特性風險對於股票相對低估與高估之間的關係,也奠定了投資者意見分歧為這段關係間的影響因素之一,並且協助了我們對於市場的理解以及有效的規避相對低估與高估带来的潛在風險。
This study examines listed companies in the Taiwan stock market from January 2012 to December 2022, exploring how idiosyncratic risk affects relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. It also investigates how high investors' opinion divergence influences this relationship. Results show that higher idiosyncratic risk increases the likelihood of current and expected relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. However, in situations of high investors' opinion divergence, the positive effect of idiosyncratic risk on current and expected relative undervaluation and current relative Oovervaluation weakens. These findings enhance our understanding of how different risk types, specifically idiosyncratic risk, relate to relative undervaluation and overvaluation of stocks. They also establish investors' opinion divergence as a key factor in this relationship. This improves our market understanding and helps in avoiding potential risks associated with relative undervaluation and overvaluation.
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